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Miami Marlins Take Best of Bad Situation in Signing Placido Polanco – Fish Stripes

December 22, 2012 in Offseason

So what can we expect out of Polanco in 2013? Any discussion regarding Polanco typically begins with his glove, which remains stellar. Over the last three seasons, he has posted an average Ultimate Zone Rating (UZR) of 12.6 runs above average per full season of play. Polanco passed the eye test as well, at least when it came to the Fans Scouting Report. He was rated ninth among third basemen in the FSR, behind a number of good rookie shortstops who were shifted to third base (Manny Machado, Adeiny Hechavarria) and other elite third basemen (Evan Longoria, Scott Rolen, Ryan Zimmerman).

With his continued aging, we would expect that to drop, but even if it falls down to eight or 10 runs above average, the Marlins would still be receiving the best defensive third baseman the club has likely ever had. Assuming eight runs above average per full year, it will not take much more to make Polanco close to a league-average player.

As far as his offense, there is much to be desired. Polanco is coming off of his worst offensive campaign since the start of his career, Over the last three years, he has hit a respectable but still very light .281/.330/.356, and his power will not be returning now that he has left Citizens Bank Ballpark and entered Marlins Park. However, last year his performance was brought down by his lowest BABIP of his career as well, and if he can drag that BABIP back up to something less than his career norm, the Marlins should at least see a repeat of his 2011 batting line. Indeed, Bill James projects a .279/,331/.368 line (.303 wOBA) that is very similar to that 2011 mark.

Assuming that projection sticks, the only thing left to consider Polanco’s playing time. He logged an average of 484 PA per season over the last three years, and I would be comfortable guessing about the same number for him in 2013. Giving him 480 PA for the year, the Marlins could expect a below-average hitter who makes up for it by being an excellent third baseman, much in the way Omar Infante did in 2011 and 2012. In that small amount of time, Polanco may be worth 1.9 Wins Above Replacement (WAR), which would make him a stellar investment for the Fish.

via Miami Marlins Take Best of Bad Situation in Signing Placido Polanco – Fish Stripes.

Trade for Marlins, Tigers makes sense | MLB.com: News

July 23, 2012 in Trades

The Marlins know a little bit about expectations. With an abnormally aggressive offseason, they created them for themselves.

Now, in shipping off what could be the first of several established players and bringing back a prospect package, Miami is embracing the grim reality of a 2012 gone awry and firmly looking forward.

If nothing else, you have to appreciate the Marlins’ honest evaluation of their standing.

“The current team really is not in contention,” president of baseball operations Larry Beinfest said. “In a tenuous spot, at best. I think it was time to restructure.”

Turner is a fine building block, in that regard, even though his three starts at the Major League level this season revealed him to be not quite prepared for the big league spotlight. The No. 9 pick in the 2009 Draft, Turner is widely considered to be one of the top pitching prospects in all of baseball, thanks to his mid-90s sinker and poise for pitching. He just turned 21, and he’s far from a finished product, but Turner has a high ceiling.

“This is a tough get,” said Beinfest. “To get a Major League-ready starter is probably the toughest thing to acquire in the game.”

They also got a prized catching prospect — another tough commodity to acquire — in Brantly, who was recently promoted to Triple-A just two years after the Tigers acquired him in the Draft. Double-A lefty Brian Flynn was the third player acquired, and the two clubs also swapped competitive balance Draft picks for 2013.

via Trade for Marlins, Tigers makes sense | MLB.com: News.

Marlins Make it Four Straight in Nail Biter in San Diego

May 5, 2012 in Regular Season, The Latest

It has literally been by the skin of their teeth that the Marlins are on a 4 game winning streak and sometimes, that’s the way the game works. Previously they couldn’t find a win, let alone a hole to shoot a ball through for a hit. Their 6 game losing streak was snapped with some heroics back in Miami and now it seems they are unstoppable away from the new digs and the Longball Lagoon.

With a 5-0 lead and Josh Johnson on the mound, it was looking like an easier win for the Fish as they stretched out their legs on this road trip while hoping to give the bullpen a rest. At the end of this 12 inning marathon, the Marlins had tossed away two leads and used up 6 relievers to get their fourth straight. Truly a Pyrrhic victory.

What emerges are some concerns – is Josh Johnson truly healthy? His command is very much off as he left pitches over the plate and watched his 5-0 lead evaporate in just 2.2 innings when he was pulled from the game.

“You’re up, 5-0, and JJ is on the mound, you feel good about yourself,” Guillen said. “I just wonder if he’s not feeling good. He says he feels good, but command is not there. A lot of bad pitches. With two strikes, keeping the ball up. Right now, what’s killing him is he doesn’t have any command of his pitches.”

Then there is Heath Bell. His season seems to be very bumpy and there are questions circulating about whether or not he will keep the closer role through the weekend, let alone for the rest of the season. His problems also can be attributed to location as he has walked 10 batters already versus only 6 strikeouts. Hitters are hitting .308 from the left side and over .400 from the right side.

But it was Omar Infante who, again, comes up with a big hit to give the Marlins back the lead in the 12th inning which was the eventual game winner. Steve Cishek, also, has emerged as a possible candidate to replace Bell if his struggles continue. Getting the 9-8 win, the Marlins were able to get their 4th straight win, but more questions loom on the horizon about two of their big arms.

Omar Infante’s Slide Saves Fish

May 14, 2011 in Regular Season

Should you take the blue pill or the red pill? Omar Infante obviously was channeling Neo from the Matrix as he slid into home last night during the 11th inning. His acrobatic move gave the Marlins the go ahead run. It was also the 7th win in a row for the Marlins over the Nats in Washington.

The Fish were looking for vengeance, dropping two of three against the Nats while on their homestand back in Miami. Yet these aren’t last year’s Natinals, they play tough and don’t quit. The Marlins jumped out to a 3-0 lead with two outs in the first, coming on back to back home runs from Gaby Sanchez and John Buck but the Nationals bounced back.

The game would take a turn for the dramatic as Logan Morrison would hit a home run, breaking the 4-4 deadlock on his first day back from the DL. Yet, it wasn’t to be as the Fish and Nats would remain tied at 5 until the 11th where Infante would weasel his way home to provide the game winning run. Clearly the ball beat him, but Infante slid around catcher Ramos’ tag to give the Marlins the lift.

Center fielder Bernadina was able to snag a snow cone catch that saved possibly two runs which would have given the Marlins the win in regulation.

The Future of the Fish: 2011 A Look Ahead

November 17, 2010 in Featured, Offseason, The Fish Tank, Trades

So now that the dust is settling on the Dan Uggla trade, we’ve come to learn two basic things:

  1. The Marlins did make a very fair offer to Uggla and his representatives. They opted to take their chances elsewhere, looking to get a 5 year deal at around $70+M. Marlins offered 4 years at $48M. Kind of reminds one of the Pudge Rodriguez exit, eh?
  2. Marlins brass want to be a better baseball team – not provide highlights. Loria has already bemoaned publicly the fact that the bullpen cost the Marlins 27 wins (27 losses after the 7th inning). Beinfest, although admitting Uggla’s talent isn’t easily replaced, stressed that they needed to shore up the defense and find an offense that will move runners. “To replace the home runs, I’m not sure you’re going to replace 30. But is that really our objective? Our objective, really when you think about it, is let’s get guys on base and let Hanley [Ramirez] and [Mike] Stanton and [Logan Morrison] and those guys knock them in. It’s a little bit different because we’ve really wailed the last few years. We hit a lot of home runs in the last four to five years, and this will be a little bit of a different look for us.”

Given this context, does the Marlins’ trade of Uggla now make more sense? Yes. In return the Marlins get Omar Infante, who improves over Uggla in defense, speed, and in making contact. Also, with the acquisition of Mike Dunn, the Marlins shore up their bullpen by getting another lefty arm in there to provide more depth.

The Marlins have also now added catcher John Buck who, like Omar Infante, found his way onto the all star team last season. Given the fact that the Marlins were going to spend $48M on Uggla, and they have inked Buck to a 3 year, $18M deal, the Fish now have $30M to spend.

With better defense, more speed, and putting the ball in play a bit more the Marlins are already making a movement in the direction they intended to go. They also are going to tinker with the idea of bringing along prospect Matt Dominguez to play 3B – who is expected to be a defensive improvement as well – and also by inserting a healthy Chris Coghlan into CF. Once again, defense improves, contact improves.

Rounding out the roster for position players looks pretty promising. Logan Morrison would stay in LF, Mike Stanton in RF, Gaby Sanchez at 1B, Hanley Ramirez anchors SS. Those are four young, but very good hitters to help drive in runs while Coghlan, Infante, and Dominguez can help set the table.

What about the bullpen? As mentioned earlier, the bullpen ranked 9th in ERA needs a makeover. Brian Sanches, Clay Hensley, and Leo Nunez are returning but recent trades have helped, too. The Marlins dealt Andrew Miller for Dustin Richardson from the Red Sox. The 26 year old lefty is expected to help provide depth, but also has pretty solid upside considering the failed attempt to get Miller going.

Also as a result from the now busted Miguel Cabrera deal with the Tigers (a deal which also included Dontrelle Willis), Cameron Maybin was sent to the Padres for two more arms right-handers Edward Mujica and Ryan Webb. Webb is 6’6″ and provides some interesting upside, which is the name of the game when you are dealing away busted prospects.

What emerges is a better baseball team. The Marlins are looking to get back to basics – play sound fundamental baseball with the ability to stay in games but also hold a lead. The biggest problem for this team the past few years has been the inability to consistently put the ball in play. By cutting down on their strikeouts, and increasing the ability to make contact, the Marlins have a better chance at staying in games. In shoring up the bullpen, the Marlins also sustain a better chance of holding a lead and finishing out games with a win.

Dan Uggla Traded to Braves

November 16, 2010 in Featured, The Latest

Looks like one more ex-Marlin will be joining the Braves.

First it was Fredi Gonzalez to replace the man in Atlanta, Bobby Cox. Now, Fish fans have to suffer a bit more while they watch fan favorite Dan Uggla pack his bags for Atlanta, too.

To say it has been a tough season for the Marlins is an understatement as Jorge Cantu parted ways to Texas earlier and Cody Ross ended up in San Francisco only to work his way into a post season celebrity – and with a beard to boot.

Now, “His Name is” Dan Uggla will take his Popeye forearms and big right handed swing north leaving the Marlins with a big gap in the middle of their lineup. In exchange, the Marlins get 2B Omar Infante and LHP Mike Dunn.

Uggla had his most successful offensive season with the Marlins this past year, hitting .287 with 33 home runs and 105 RBIs. He is 13th all time among 2nd basemen with home runs, and he leads all of the majors in home runs among 2nd basemen since he debuted in the bigs with the Fish back in 2006.

We wish you the best, Dan. Just not when you are facing our Fish.