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Fish Farm: Yordy Cabrera is Making Strides

April 16, 2013 in Fish Farm

YordyCabreraStillBigMaybe you didn’t notice, but the Marlins shed players and payroll this past offseason to net prospects to fill their roster for years to come. It was a hopeful move, to create promise for the future, but it has been met with great cynicism and distrust from Marlin fans who cite Loria’s past as a prologue to any future here in Miami. Yet, there is one deal that does seem to definitely be working out in the Marlins’ favor – and it isn’t one that most fans really know about.

Back in October, the Marlins got rid of the failed experiment that was Heath Bell. The Marlins signed the closer to a 3 year, $27M contract and hoped to have Bell’s success repeated in Miami where he grabbed 40+ saves for the Padres from 2009-2011. Let’s suffice it to say, it didn’t work out, so the Marlins dealt him to Arizona in a three team trade that netted the Marlins A’s prospect, Yordy Cabrera.

In Yordy Cabrera, the Marlins were able to get a raw hitter with power but poor pitch selection. The Lakewood High standout was drafted in the 2nd round by the A’s back in 2010, but it took a $1M signing bonus to persuade him from heading to college. Heading into the 2012 season, he was rated as the #5 prospect by FanGraphs in the A’s system but a need for more seasoning with pitch selection was noted. Also, his lack of range means he projects more to be a 3rd baseman instead of a SS – and we have seen this transition time and time again in baseball.

In 2012, his numbers were not very impressive. He hit 3 home runs in 220 ABs, and struck out at a 30% rate (68Ks in 220ABs). The A’s scrapped him to the Diamondbacks who then flipped him to the Marlins. Right now, though, Cabrera is showing tremendous promise – the power that he is projected to have is surfacing. He is currently hitting .269 with 3 home runs, with the last two coming in his last two games. He also has been able to cut his Ks down; he currently has 7Ks in 52ABs which is 13%.

In this deal, the Marlins shed Heath Bell’s contract – about $13M over this season and the next. His inability to get hitters out and dropping velocity meant the Marlins would have been locked into a bad deal. They got a young prospect in return that they hope can show enough promise to help create a sustainable option for 3B in the future. We wrote an article earlier that showed that the Marlins’ options for 3rd base were strictly internal at this point. Among those options are Zack Cox, Derek Dietrich, and now Yordy Cabrera. If Cabrera can continue to keep his K rate lowered, and his power numbers up, he could make the jump to AA later in the season.

Discuss Yordy Cabrera’s progress on the boards!

I Like Turtles: Marlins Do the Small Things Right

January 21, 2013 in Offseason

Jeffrey Loria ExposThe turtle survives not by any particularly noticeable natural ability. Not on account of its strength, speed, or any other tangible asset. Indeed, no great poetic alliterations or epics are dedicated to the turtle. No great works of art. The turtle survives because of its awareness. Once it is threatened, it withdraws into its protective shell and allows its predators to attack, waste their energy, and then give up and walk away. When one looks at Jeffrey Loria, one can’t help but think of a turtle. His facial features seem to suggest those of a turtle – and this isn’t to say this is a negative quality. Think of the nature of a turtle – they are cautious, slow. When attacked, they retract within their shell. They hide.

Think about the Marlins and their recent moves. The rumbling for years has been that Hanley Ramirez was a prima donna who could sink a clubhouse. Finally, after a couple of seasons he was dealt. Then the rest of the players acquired last season were dealt. The turtle withdrew in his shell and he won’t be coming out until the coast is clear again.

Let’s face it, it wasn’t the spending of the money that was the problem. It was the allocation of the money on players who didn’t perform. The most glaring of these examples is John Buck and Heath Bell. So the turtle, feeling the shadow of a threat pulled the trigger on a deal.

I Like TurtlesYet, there is something the Marlins always seem to do well, and that is comb through other’s trash and find gems. Like a turtle, they, too, live close to the ground. Dan Uggla was a Rule 5 pick. Dontrelle Willis. Jorge Cantu. Todd Jones. Justin Ruggiano. They always seem to find guys who can contribute after being written off. They also seem to find guys who can over-achieve within a defined role. John Cangelosi, Darren Daulton. Lenny Harris. Mike Mordecai. Wes Helms.

Right now the Marlins are adding again using small parts. Nick Green, Matt Downs, Kevin Kouzmanoff, Austin Kearns. They’re bringing back Ryan Webb. They signed Mike Wuertz to a minor league contract.

This is the true nature of this franchise. They will not be able to spend their way to the top – they seem almost uncomfortable with this spotlight. They are more comfortable with tinkering, tweaking. Gradually building. No big sweeps, no high risk, high reward. They are a cautious bunch, moving slowly like the turtle. The difference is that they can afford to keep the players they built up – such as a Giancarlo Stanton. They can retain the players that they had to deal in the past – like Mike Lowell, Josh Beckett, MIguel Cabrera, and even Dontrelle Willis.

So liken the Fish to a reptile. In Loria they have the nature of a turtle, a deliberate and cautious creature that will not venture a short term risk for long term security. Expect the Marlins to continue to tinker and build. Yet once they get to the top, expect them to hold it through caution and great awareness.

 

Report: Mets discussed Bay trade with Fish – Mets Blog – ESPN New York

August 2, 2012 in Trades

Marlins discussed deal to send Bell, Buck to Mets

SAN FRANCISCO — The Mets discussed sending Jason Bay to the Miami Marlins for closer Heath Bell and catcher John Buck, Ken Rosenthal reports.

Bay is owed $16 million next season, plus a $3 million buyout of a vesting option for 2014. That option only kicks in at $17 million if Bay has 600 plate appearances next season, which will not occur.

The ex-Met Bell is owed a combined $18 million in 2013 and 2014. Buck is owed $6 million next season.

Rosenthal added: “The deal never was close, sources said. But it would have enabled both clubs to purge players who are flopping miserably this season.”

via Report: Mets discussed Bay trade with Fish – Mets Blog – ESPN New York.

Marlins Make it Four Straight in Nail Biter in San Diego

May 5, 2012 in Regular Season, The Latest

It has literally been by the skin of their teeth that the Marlins are on a 4 game winning streak and sometimes, that’s the way the game works. Previously they couldn’t find a win, let alone a hole to shoot a ball through for a hit. Their 6 game losing streak was snapped with some heroics back in Miami and now it seems they are unstoppable away from the new digs and the Longball Lagoon.

With a 5-0 lead and Josh Johnson on the mound, it was looking like an easier win for the Fish as they stretched out their legs on this road trip while hoping to give the bullpen a rest. At the end of this 12 inning marathon, the Marlins had tossed away two leads and used up 6 relievers to get their fourth straight. Truly a Pyrrhic victory.

What emerges are some concerns – is Josh Johnson truly healthy? His command is very much off as he left pitches over the plate and watched his 5-0 lead evaporate in just 2.2 innings when he was pulled from the game.

“You’re up, 5-0, and JJ is on the mound, you feel good about yourself,” Guillen said. “I just wonder if he’s not feeling good. He says he feels good, but command is not there. A lot of bad pitches. With two strikes, keeping the ball up. Right now, what’s killing him is he doesn’t have any command of his pitches.”

Then there is Heath Bell. His season seems to be very bumpy and there are questions circulating about whether or not he will keep the closer role through the weekend, let alone for the rest of the season. His problems also can be attributed to location as he has walked 10 batters already versus only 6 strikeouts. Hitters are hitting .308 from the left side and over .400 from the right side.

But it was Omar Infante who, again, comes up with a big hit to give the Marlins back the lead in the 12th inning which was the eventual game winner. Steve Cishek, also, has emerged as a possible candidate to replace Bell if his struggles continue. Getting the 9-8 win, the Marlins were able to get their 4th straight win, but more questions loom on the horizon about two of their big arms.

Is Heath Bell a Bust?

May 5, 2012 in Featured, The Fish Tank

One month into the season and the Marlins’ closer role is still looking unanswered. In an offseason where lots of money was spent by the new-look Marlins, there was a conviction that the position for closing games was solved. Now, it seems, the Marlins are scratching their heads.

The Marlins have $27M reasons why they should be wondering if they made the right move. With his fourth blown save in seven opportunities, Heath Bell is looking more and more like a mistake. “We gotta do something. We can’t be waiting anymore,” Ozzie Guillen said to the press shortly after last night’s 9-8 12th inning win for the Marlins.

Being 0-3 with 4 saves and an 11.45 ERA is not what the Fish had envisioned when Bell was signed this past offseason. But it gets worse – his numbers, thus far, are in sharp decline.

Bell’s K per 9 innings ratio is down from 11.1 in 2010 to and 7.3 last season to only 5.9 this season. He has only 6 Ks in 8.2 innings but has 10 walks. He is not getting his first batters out and both sides of the plate are mashing him – lefties hit .308 while righties hit an appalling .409 right now.

Scouts are noting that he doesn’t look the same on the mound and that his velocity has begun to dip a bit. His location is off and he is struggling. The question is, can he correct this and emerge out of this funk as a consistent late game closer and will the Marlins be forced to scrap it and go in another direction? Judging by the trends of his numbers, it would seem that his walks are an anomaly or in the least, in direct correlation with control problems. He already has 10 walks while averaging about 26 per season from 2007-2011.

Ozzie’s let’s see and wait approach may only last a few more games – as it should. One of his strengths is his ability to make detached decisions while a manager like Freddie Gonzalez would give too many chances and cost his team games. Expect a short leash and possibly a change in the backend of the bullpen. You might see Heath Bell become one of the more expensive set up men in the league.

Twitter Your Miami Marlins

April 18, 2012 in The Fish Tank, Tweets, Twitter

Just wanted to post an update on the Miami Marlins players that are available via Twitter:

And don’t forget to follow us @MarlinsNation!