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Marlins and Jose Valverde Reaching Deal Described As Utterly False

February 4, 2013 in Offseason

Jose-ValverdeThere are reports that the Marlins are close to signing reliever Jose Valverde to a one year deal – not so fast.

Clark Spencer reports that this is most likely a Scott Boras trick, trying to drive up his client’s value. Besides, the Marlins and Boras very rarely ever do business (see Ivan Rodriguez post 2003 season).

While there has been contact there hasn’t been any real discussions about signing him quite yet. Not to mention, internally the Marlins’ brass is high on Steve Cishek’s continued development at the backend of the bullpen. He is currently slated to play for Team USA in the World Baseball Classic. Getting Valverde would provide insurance, but the price may not be anywhere in the Marlins’ neighborhood at this point.

Valverde is also coming off a down year in 2012. His K’s per 9 IP went down to 6.3 and although he had 3.78 ERA with 35 saves, he did appear in 67 games last season.

Solid And High Risk Options Remain for Marlins

December 27, 2012 in Offseason

The Marlins went ahead and invested in the services of Placido Polanco for 3B last week. The competition will remain open at Spring Training with Kevin Kouzmanoff, Chris Coghlan, and Zack Cox all vying for more playing time there. Yet the Marlins still need to add more depth to their roster in particular, they need more pitching and more power.

There are a few free agent options available that could bode well in a situation where players may be looking to re-establish themselves. The problem is, these players come with a bit of a risk to them.

Detroit Tigers Delmon Young takes part in batting practice at their MLB baseball game against the Chicago White Sox in Detroit,For example, take Delmon Young. His best season was in 2010 where he hit .298 with 21 HRs and 112 RBI. He had a .333 OBP and a .826 OPS that year, too. He is under 30, and can play the OF corner spots. He has a bit of a hot-head, which is one of the reasons why teams are passing on him as there was an altercation last year where he tackled someone in a disagreement and netted a 7 game suspension. Still, a little fire is a good thing when properly channeled, right? He hit 18 home runs last year for the Tigers and could provide some extra depth and pop in the OF. It just depends on what kind of a price tag he is looking for. Young is a former #1 pick overall and may be happy with a minor league deal at this point.

Vincente Padilla is a guy that makes most Marlin fans skin crawl. For years he was the ugly face of the Phillies starting pitching, constantly being attacked for purposely throwing at guys heads. Well, with 108 plunks since 2002, the accusations may not be all that far off. He had 56 appearances last year for the Red Sox out of the bullpen and was quite productive striking out 51 in 50 IP and only walking 15. Hitters hit .298 against him but he would provide an experienced, albeit morally questionable, voice in the bullpen for a year at least.

Yuniesky Betancourt is a puzzling player. He can play middle infield or even 3B, has a little pop to hit about 10-15 HRs, and can hit about .260-.280. He’s a serviceable guy to have around if you don’t have a long term plan and just turned 30. He has had two tours of duty with the Royals now and apparently was not too happy about his playing time in KC last year. If the Marlins were to take him on with a one year deal, they would have to assuredly get him to play in 120+ games to keep him happy and, more importantly, he would have to produce at a level that would make sense for the Marlins to play him. He could be another utility-type player getting time at SS, 2B, and even 3B. Not quite enough to make a dedicated starter, but one has to wonder why the Marlins chose Polanco over him given Betancourt’s age advantage. Plus he is Cuban and would probably love to play in Miami – his agent is also based in Miami and reportedly has 4 teams offering deals. We’ll see if the Marlins are one.

All of this also begs the question, why not bring Carlos Zambrano back? Of course he had Ozzie Guillen managing him last year and this helped keep him under wraps a bit. Sure, he may blow up in the dugout when his young team makes a mistake and he would blame his losses on his teammates. This may kill the clubhouse culture but then again, maybe another one year deal to help him re-establish himself may help, too.

All of these players would offer substantial chemistry risk as they have had problems elsewhere but on a team of young players, it may get overlooked, too. There are options out there for the Marlins to latch on to and, if they begin to prove themselves valuable assets, they could also be flipped to a contending team looking to make a run – if the Marlins are in contention themselves. Finding the write personality with the necessary talent trying to re-establish himself in the bigs may prove a valuable move for the Marlins for the 2013 season.

 

Miami Marlins sign RHP John Maine to minor league deal – Sun Sentinel

December 25, 2012 in Offseason

He hasn’t pitched in the majors since 2010 and is on the wrong side of 30, but the Miami Marlins are giving right-hander John Maine a chance.

The Marlins agreed with the former New York Mets starter to a minor league deal with an invitation to spring training. Maine since he debuted with the Baltimore Orioles in 2004 can boast 108 career major league appearances, all but three of which were starts.

As a member of the Mets from 2006-’10, Maine went 39-32 with a 4.17 ERA in 542 innings. Stops in the Rockies, Red Sox and Yankees organizations since then have not yielded any more major league time. In 2012, he made 16 appearances (15 starts) for the Yankees’ Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre affiliate and went 8-5 with a 4.97 ERA, 31 walks and 66 strikeouts in 79 2/3 innings.

via Miami Marlins sign RHP John Maine to minor league deal – Sun Sentinel.

Miami Marlins Take Best of Bad Situation in Signing Placido Polanco – Fish Stripes

December 22, 2012 in Offseason

So what can we expect out of Polanco in 2013? Any discussion regarding Polanco typically begins with his glove, which remains stellar. Over the last three seasons, he has posted an average Ultimate Zone Rating (UZR) of 12.6 runs above average per full season of play. Polanco passed the eye test as well, at least when it came to the Fans Scouting Report. He was rated ninth among third basemen in the FSR, behind a number of good rookie shortstops who were shifted to third base (Manny Machado, Adeiny Hechavarria) and other elite third basemen (Evan Longoria, Scott Rolen, Ryan Zimmerman).

With his continued aging, we would expect that to drop, but even if it falls down to eight or 10 runs above average, the Marlins would still be receiving the best defensive third baseman the club has likely ever had. Assuming eight runs above average per full year, it will not take much more to make Polanco close to a league-average player.

As far as his offense, there is much to be desired. Polanco is coming off of his worst offensive campaign since the start of his career, Over the last three years, he has hit a respectable but still very light .281/.330/.356, and his power will not be returning now that he has left Citizens Bank Ballpark and entered Marlins Park. However, last year his performance was brought down by his lowest BABIP of his career as well, and if he can drag that BABIP back up to something less than his career norm, the Marlins should at least see a repeat of his 2011 batting line. Indeed, Bill James projects a .279/,331/.368 line (.303 wOBA) that is very similar to that 2011 mark.

Assuming that projection sticks, the only thing left to consider Polanco’s playing time. He logged an average of 484 PA per season over the last three years, and I would be comfortable guessing about the same number for him in 2013. Giving him 480 PA for the year, the Marlins could expect a below-average hitter who makes up for it by being an excellent third baseman, much in the way Omar Infante did in 2011 and 2012. In that small amount of time, Polanco may be worth 1.9 Wins Above Replacement (WAR), which would make him a stellar investment for the Fish.

via Miami Marlins Take Best of Bad Situation in Signing Placido Polanco – Fish Stripes.

Becoming the Big Fish and Rebranding From the Minnow

December 11, 2011 in Featured, Offseason

Paradigms can shift quickly, suddenly. At least, so it seems to those who failed to recognize the shifting sands in the first place.

If you were watching the Winter Meetings coverage on ESPN these recent weeks, you may have been led to believe that there was a new franchise, an expansion franchise that just popped up on the scene eager to buy its way into the upper echelons of big league baseball. You might be scratching your head about who this Miami Marlins franchise thinks they are.

You haven’t been paying attention, have you?

We have been saying on this site for some time now that the Marlins new management, although polarizing no doubt, have been sticking to the plan and working towards this moment for almost 10 years now. When John Henry bought the Florida Marlins from the former owner, Wayne H. Huizenga, he signed a horrific lease with the idea that he would be bailing out in a few years anyway to a new stadium built in downtown Miami. It never happened, and so Henry left, claiming small pockets, to buy one of the most heralded franchises in the sport – the Boston Red Sox. Then he turned that franchise around.

Meanwhile, the Marlins were acquired by Jeffrey Loria, who came running from Montreal amid claims of fraud and misleading, to say the lease, his partners in Montreal. Eventually, Les Expos became the Washington Nationals, while Loria misered his money in South Florida.

There was an early explosion though as the Fish shocked the world and won the 2003 World Series despite having one of the lowest payrolls in all of baseball. The big ticket item that year was Pudge Rodriguez, the signing of which the local media lambasted and gave a lot of negative press over. In fact, not to toot my own horn, I proclaimed it a championship move and foresaw that the Marlins were going to go all the way. (You can check the archives on Marlinbaseball.com) I even called Dan Le Batard out on it, as he characterized the signing as putting “breast implants on a corpse”. A great image for the local kids to read about their baseball team.

Shock value aside, it was illustrations like these that characterized this franchise. The ownership was always masked in some dark cloud, as if their sole motivation was to make money off of a professional sports franchise. What most don’t understand is that these owners usually use these teams not as sacrificial cows to be slaughtered, but as social tokens that they can use to leverage new pathways into society. Loria did just that by getting his stadium built by the taxpayers of Dade county. Some don’t like it, some do. At any rate, it is a reality and now the Marlins franchise has been rebranded as a Miami product and in the meantime, has upped its value.

Yet this rehab is far from complete. The process of the makeover continues. Just like most reality shows, there is a consultation on what they are wearing and how to change it. Then, they build a new house and move out of the old one. There is also some debating about what fixtures to install and a deadline looming overhead which makes it all the more exciting for the viewers. The Marlins have done all of these things. The final piece, to convince the remaining audience, is to show them that these aren’t just superficial moves but in fact ones of substance.

That is why the reaction in the national media is not shocking. It is as if all the experts had a shared vision of what this franchise was – the same notion that plagued it from the beginning of the Loria era without ever entertaining the facts. Without ever putting anything in context. Now, the vindication is in hand for this ownership team, but it is coming at quite a financial cost. The Marlins have spent upwards of $200 million dollars this offseason in acquiring the right manager (Ozzie Guillen), the right closer (Heath Bell), another starter (Mark Buerhle), and a middle infielder who could take the defensive spot of their franchise player (Jose Reyes in at SS, Hanley Ramirez slides to 3rd).

With each signing, the national media picked up their collective dropped jaws to find a way to make some kind of comment. They never saw this coming – and that is really the shocking part. How can people who spend their entire lives, and get paid to watch over the mechanization of this game, fail to ever see an increase in spending from a franchise that now has a new cash cow? It would be like the Wall Street missing out on the potential economic boom of a country that found a massive oil supply. Or the CIA failing to track terrorists arriving in this country with a plan to do something destructive – well, you get the point.

How come this franchise continues to be the laughing stock even when it spends money? Maybe I’m too sensitive, too close to this situation. Then again, I saw this coming once they Pisces moved into their new aquarium. How come few elsewhere did?

Who would have thought that the Marlins would out New-York the New York Mets and sign the NL batting champ away from them? And that they almost signed Albert Pujols away from the World Champion St. Louis Cardinals? Or that they could still make a play on another big name free agent like Prince Fielder? Some of us Marlins fans actually did, but admittedly it wasn’t many of us. Times have changed and the paradigm, well, it shifted. Right underneath our feet.